Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 0:15·NYJ 12, BUF 7

   (:15) 5-T.Edwards pass short left intended for 11-R.Parrish INTERCEPTED by 27-A.Elam at NYJ 8. 27-A.Elam for 92 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Ties 3rd longest INT return by Jet (also Erik McMillan, 10/1/89 vs. Ind.)

   +32pp

   NYJ
2. 2
   Q1 · 9:06·NYJ 3, BUF 7

   (9:06) 5-T.Edwards sacked at BUF 6 for -9 yards (24-D.Revis). FUMBLES (24-D.Revis) [24-D.Revis], RECOVERED by NYJ-24-D.Revis at BUF 6.

   +19pp

   NYJ
3. 3
   Q4 · 11:05·NYJ 23, BUF 16

   (11:05) 4-B.Favre pass short left intended for 89-J.Cotchery INTERCEPTED by 33-J.Greer (51-P.Posluszny) at NYJ 42. 33-J.Greer for 42 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Key block: K.Mitchell.

   +15pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q1 · 14:49·NYJ 0, BUF 0

   (14:49) (Shotgun) 4-B.Favre pass short left to 29-L.Washington to BUF 21 for 40 yards (20-D.Whitner). Screen pass, caught at NYJ 40.

   +12pp

   NYJ
5. 5
   Q2 · 0:22·NYJ 13, BUF 7

   (:22) 3-J.Feely 37 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-6-R.Hodges.

   +11pp

   BUF