Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 3:52·BUF 12, NYJ 3

   (3:52) 7-J.Losman pass deep right to 83-L.Evans for 85 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +20pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q2 · 2:00·BUF 3, NYJ 3

   (2:00) #16 B.Smith lined up at QB. (Shotgun) 29-L.Washington left tackle to BUF 18 for no gain (94-A.Schobel). FUMBLES (94-A.Schobel), RECOVERED by BUF-90-C.Kelsay at BUF 17. 90-C.Kelsay to BUF 17 for no gain (60-D.Ferguson).

   +13pp

   BUF
3. 3
   Q2 · 8:08·BUF 3, NYJ 3

   (8:08) (Shotgun) 5-T.Edwards pass short right intended for 11-R.Parrish INTERCEPTED by 24-D.Revis [96-D.Bowens] at NYJ 20. 24-D.Revis to NYJ 39 for 19 yards (84-R.Royal).

   +12pp

   NYJ
4. 4
   Q3 · 8:30·BUF 3, NYJ 3

   (8:30) (Shotgun) 5-T.Edwards sacked at NYJ 42 for -4 yards (52-D.Harris).

   +11pp

   NYJ
5. 5
   Q4 · 10:54·BUF 3, NYJ 3

   (10:54) 23-M.Lynch left tackle to NYJ 22 for -4 yards (27-A.Elam, 52-D.Harris).

   +9pp

   NYJ