Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:09·NYJ 17, NE 14

   (:09) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady sacked at NE 46 for -8 yards (92-S.Ellis). FUMBLES (92-S.Ellis), recovered by NE-71-R.Hochstein at NYJ 48.

   +20pp

   NYJ
2. 2
   Q4 · 6:54·NYJ 10, NE 6

   (6:54) 12-T.Brady pass short middle intended for 39-L.Maroney INTERCEPTED by 26-E.Coleman [99-B.Thomas] at NE 38. 26-E.Coleman to NE 35 for 3 yards (39-L.Maroney).

   +18pp

   NYJ
3. 3
   Q1 · 2:54·NYJ 0, NE 0

   (2:54) 28-C.Dillon right guard pushed ob at NYJ 23 for 50 yards (21-A.Dyson). longest run since 10/6/02 (67 TD for Bengals at Colts)

   +12pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q4 · 4:22·NYJ 17, NE 12

   (4:22) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 87-R.Caldwell for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +12pp

   NWE
5. 5
   Q4 · 13:25·NYJ 10, NE 6

   (13:25) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 84-B.Watson to NYJ 32 for 6 yards (58-M.Chatham).

   +11pp

   NWE