Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 6:11·NYJ 16, TEN 8

   (6:11) 10-C.Pennington sacked at NYJ 5 for -6 yards (31-C.Finnegan). FUMBLES (31-C.Finnegan), RECOVERED by TEN-90-R.Starks at NYJ 1.

   +24pp

   TEN
2. 2
   Q4 · 3:12·NYJ 16, TEN 16

   (3:12) 10-C.Pennington pass deep right to 87-L.Coles to TEN 6 for 38 yards (24-C.Hope).

   +22pp

   NYJ
3. 3
   Q4 · 5:58·NYJ 16, TEN 16

   TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 5-K.Collins pass to 83-D.Bennett is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.

   +13pp

   TEN
4. 4
   Q4 · 2:15·NYJ 22, TEN 16

   (2:15) 10-C.Pennington pass short left to 86-C.Baker for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +13pp

   NYJ
5. 5
   Q4 · 0:39·NYJ 23, TEN 16

   (:39) 5-K.Collins pass incomplete short left to 80-B.Scaife (22-J.Miller) [25-K.Rhodes].

   +13pp

   NYJ