Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 12:12·TEN 6, NYJ 0

   (12:12) (Shotgun) 9-S.McNair pass to 86-J.McCareins for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +18pp

   TEN
2. 2
   Q3 · 3:39·TEN 10, NYJ 16

   (3:39) 10-C.Pennington pass to 82-K.Swayne for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +12pp

   NYJ
3. 3
   Q2 · 14:20·TEN 7, NYJ 7

   (14:20) 10-C.Pennington pass intended for 81-C.Conway INTERCEPTED by 22-A.Dyson at TEN 0. Touchback.

   +11pp

   TEN
4. 4
   Q2 · 5:49·TEN 7, NYJ 7

   (5:49) 10-C.Pennington pass intended for 83-S.Moss INTERCEPTED by 21-S.Rolle at NYJ 47. 21-S.Rolle to NYJ 43 for 4 yards (33-J.Sowell).

   +10pp

   TEN
5. 5
   Q2 · 3:28·TEN 7, NYJ 7

   (3:28) 10-C.Pennington pass to 83-S.Moss ran ob at TEN 18 for 39 yards (53-K.Bulluck).

   +9pp

   NYJ