Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 15:00·BUF 16, MIA 17

   (15:00) (Shotgun) 5-T.Edwards pass short left intended for 83-L.Evans INTERCEPTED by 25-W.Allen at MIA 36. 25-W.Allen to BUF 34 for 30 yards (80-D.Schouman).

   +23pp

   MIA
2. 2
   Q4 · 11:49·BUF 16, MIA 20

   (11:49) (No Huddle) 5-T.Edwards up the middle to MIA 31 for 2 yards (74-Q.Moses). FUMBLES (74-Q.Moses), RECOVERED by MIA-55-J.Porter at MIA 31. 55-J.Porter to MIA 35 for 4 yards (71-J.Peters).

   +16pp

   MIA
3. 3
   Q2 · 10:42·BUF 3, MIA 7

   (10:42) (Shotgun) 5-T.Edwards pass short right to 23-M.Lynch to MIA 45 for 5 yards (56-C.Anderson). PENALTY on MIA-56-C.Anderson, Face Mask (15 Yards), 15 yards, enforced at MIA 45. Penalty on MIA-97-P.Merling, Defensive Offside, declined.

   +12pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q3 · 10:17·BUF 16, MIA 7

   (10:17) 10-C.Pennington pass deep right to 19-T.Ginn to BUF 16 for 64 yards (59-K.Mitchell). FUMBLES (59-K.Mitchell), ball out of bounds at BUF 16.

   +10pp

   MIA
5. 5
   Q2 · 12:40·BUF 3, MIA 7

   (12:40) 34-R.Williams up the middle to BUF 29 for 3 yards (51-P.Posluszny). FUMBLES (51-P.Posluszny), RECOVERED by BUF-56-K.Ellison at BUF 29. 56-K.Ellison to BUF 29 for no gain (34-R.Williams).

   +10pp

   BUF