Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 8:39·MIA 0, BUF 0

   (8:39) 21-W.McGahee right tackle to BUF 47 for 3 yards (54-Z.Thomas). FUMBLES (54-Z.Thomas), RECOVERED by MIA-59-D.Spragan at BUF 43. BUF-21-W.McGahee was injured during the play.

   +13pp

   MIA
2. 2
   Q3 · 11:40·MIA 0, BUF 7

   (11:40) 3-J.Harrington pass deep right intended for 84-C.Chambers INTERCEPTED by 22-N.Clements at BUF 23. 22-N.Clements to BUF 45 for 22 yards (64-K.Jacox). MIA-86-M.Booker was injured during the play. His return is Questionable. Receiver underthrown, coverage in flat.

   +12pp

   BUF
3. 3
   Q1 · 4:26·MIA 0, BUF 0

   (4:26) 31-S.Morris up the middle to BUF 24 for no gain (90-C.Kelsay). Measurement = change of possession.

   +11pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q3 · 11:55·MIA 0, BUF 7

   (11:55) (Shotgun) 7-J.Losman sacked at BUF 41 for -7 yards (99-J.Taylor). FUMBLES (99-J.Taylor), RECOVERED by MIA-93-K.Carter at BUF 44.

   +10pp

   MIA
5. 5
   Q2 · 4:47·MIA 0, BUF 6

   (4:47) 7-J.Losman pass deep right to 84-R.Royal for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at MIA 3.

   +9pp

   BUF