Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:50·IND 31, HOU 27

   (:50) (Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels pass deep left intended for 80-A.Johnson INTERCEPTED by 33-M.Bullitt at IND 22. 33-M.Bullitt to IND 25 for 3 yards (83-K.Walter).

   +30pp

   IND
2. 2
   Q4 · 2:50·IND 24, HOU 27

   (2:50) (Shotgun) 18-S.Rosenfels sacked at HOU 19 for -2 yards (98-R.Mathis). FUMBLES (98-R.Mathis), RECOVERED by IND-98-R.Mathis at HOU 20. 98-R.Mathis to HOU 20 for no gain (55-C.Myers).

   +28pp

   IND
3. 3
   Q4 · 3:54·IND 23, HOU 27

   (3:54) 18-S.Rosenfels left end to IND 32 for 7 yards (79-R.Brock, 28-M.Jackson). FUMBLES (79-R.Brock), RECOVERED by IND-58-G.Brackett at IND 32. 58-G.Brackett for 68 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +19pp

   IND
4. 4
   Q1 · 4:07·IND 3, HOU 0

   (4:07) 18-P.Manning pass deep left to 87-R.Wayne pushed ob at HOU 9 for 36 yards (35-J.Reeves).

   +13pp

   IND
5. 5
   Q4 · 2:00·IND 30, HOU 27

   (2:00) 18-P.Manning pass short left to 87-R.Wayne for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Assistant challenged the runner was in bounds ruling, and the play was Upheld.

   +11pp

   IND