Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:02·IND 24, HOU 27

   (:02) 3-K.Brown 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-B.Pittman, Holder-7-C.Stanley.

   +25pp

   HOU
2. 2
   Q2 · 8:22·IND 13, HOU 14

   (8:22) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short left to 85-A.Moorehead for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (Completed pass was tipped at the line of scrimmage by HOU's #98 Peek.)

   +10pp

   IND
3. 3
   Q1 · 10:06·IND 0, HOU 7

   (10:06) 33-D.Rhodes up the middle to IND 45 for no gain (90-M.Williams). FUMBLES (90-M.Williams), RECOVERED by HOU-92-A.Weaver at IND 47. 92-A.Weaver to IND 47 for no gain (33-D.Rhodes).

   +10pp

   HOU
4. 4
   Q4 · 2:46·IND 23, HOU 24

   (2:46) 18-P.Manning pass short right to 88-M.Harrison for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +10pp

   IND
5. 5
   Q4 · 3:29·IND 17, HOU 24

   (3:29) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep right to 81-B.Fletcher to HOU 7 for 23 yards (24-C.Brown).

   +9pp

   IND