Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 12:16·BUF 9, JAX 0

   (12:16) 8-M.Brunell pass to 80-K.Brady for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +38pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q2 · 0:57·BUF 3, JAX 0

   (:57) (Shotgun) 8-M.Brunell pass intended for 80-K.Brady INTERCEPTED by 27-K.Irvin at BUF 14. 27-K.Irvin to BUF 14 for no gain (80-K.Brady). Play Challenged by Replay Official and Upheld.

   +15pp

   BUF
3. 3
   Q2 · 3:33·BUF 0, JAX 0

   (3:33) 11-R.Johnson sacked at JAX 13 for -8 yards (96-G.Walker).

   +10pp

   JAX
4. 4
   Q1 · 5:41·BUF 0, JAX 0

   (5:41) 9-J.Arians 41 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-87-D.O'Leary, Holder-85-J.Riemersma.

   +10pp

   JAX
5. 5
   Q1 · 6:56·BUF 0, JAX 0

   (6:56) 20-T.Henry up the middle to JAX 41 for 1 yard (32-M.McCree). PENALTY on JAX-52-E.Westmoreland, Face Mask (15 Yards), 15 yards, enforced at JAX 41. JJ 53 Shaken up on the play.

   +9pp

   BUF