Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 1:14·PIT 21, BAL 27

   (1:14) (Shotgun) 16-C.Batch pass deep middle intended for 10-S.Holmes INTERCEPTED by 24-D.Pittman at BAL 19. 24-D.Pittman to BAL 11 for -8 yards (10-S.Holmes).

   +14pp

   BAL
2. 2
   Q4 · 1:20·PIT 21, BAL 27

   (1:20) (Shotgun) 16-C.Batch pass deep left to 10-S.Holmes to PIT 30 for 28 yards (20-E.Reed).

   +11pp

   PIT
3. 3
   Q4 · 2:55·PIT 21, BAL 27

   (2:55) 10-T.Smith pass short left to 33-J.Green to BAL 32 for 10 yards (23-T.Carter).

   +9pp

   BAL
4. 4
   Q2 · 4:58·PIT 7, BAL 17

   (4:58) 16-C.Batch pass INTERCEPTED by 24-D.Pittman at BAL 38. 24-D.Pittman to PIT 32 for 30 yards (85-N.Washington). FUMBLES (85-N.Washington), recovered by BAL-59-N.Greisen at PIT 33. 59-N.Greisen to PIT 33 for no gain (83-H.Miller). PENALTY on BAL-59-N.Greisen, Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at PIT 33.

   +8pp

   BAL
5. 5
   Q4 · 3:40·PIT 20, BAL 27

   (3:40) 16-C.Batch pass short middle to 80-C.Wilson for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +8pp

   PIT