Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 3:45·BAL 0, PIT 7

   (3:45) 9-D.Sepulveda punts 45 yards to BAL 32, Center-60-G.Warren. 20-E.Reed to BAL 38 for 6 yards (92-J.Harrison). FUMBLES (92-J.Harrison), RECOVERED by PIT-94-L.Timmons at BAL 33. 94-L.Timmons to BAL 28 for 5 yards (81-D.Darling). Penalty on BAL-81-D.Darling, Illegal Block Above the Waist, declined.

   +12pp

   PIT
2. 2
   Q1 · 9:30·BAL 0, PIT 0

   (9:30) (Shotgun) 9-S.McNair sacked at BAL 16 for -12 yards (92-J.Harrison). FUMBLES (92-J.Harrison) [92-J.Harrison], RECOVERED by PIT-92-J.Harrison at BAL 20. 92-J.Harrison to BAL 20 for no gain (32-M.Smith).

   +11pp

   PIT
3. 3
   Q1 · 7:26·BAL 0, PIT 6

   (7:26) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass deep left to 83-H.Miller for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN [55-T.Suggs]. PENALTY on BAL-55-T.Suggs, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforced between downs.

   +7pp

   PIT
4. 4
   Q1 · 0:26·BAL 0, PIT 14

   (:26) 23-W.McGahee up the middle to BAL 35 for 2 yards (43-T.Polamalu). FUMBLES (43-T.Polamalu), RECOVERED by PIT-27-An.Smith at BAL 36. 27-An.Smith to BAL 36 for no gain (85-D.Mason).

   +5pp

   PIT