Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 5:56·BAL 16, PIT 17

   (5:56) (Punt formation) 17-C.Gardocki Aborted. 60-G.Warren FUMBLES at PIT 45, recovered by PIT-81-S.Morey at PIT 40. 81-S.Morey to PIT 34 for -6 yards. 17-C.Gardocki pass incomplete to 81-S.Morey (24-D.Carter).

   +21pp

   BAL
2. 2
   Q4 · 0:24·BAL 19, PIT 20

   (:24) 2-A.Wright pass incomplete to 29-C.Taylor. Coverage by #51 Farrior

   +19pp

   PIT
3. 3
   Q2 · 5:03·BAL 10, PIT 10

   8-A.Elling kicks 60 yards from BAL 30 to PIT 10. 21-R.Colclough to PIT 30 for 20 yards (24-D.Carter). FUMBLES (24-D.Carter), RECOVERED by BAL-54-R.Green at PIT 29. 54-R.Green to PIT 29 for no gain (90-T.Kirschke).

   +14pp

   BAL
4. 4
   Q4 · 0:47·BAL 19, PIT 20

   (:47) 2-A.Wright sacked at BAL 47 for -3 yards (99-B.Keisel).

   +14pp

   PIT
5. 5
   Q2 · 9:19·BAL 7, PIT 10

   (9:19) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass intended for 80-C.Wilson INTERCEPTED by 96-A.Thomas at BAL 30. 96-A.Thomas pushed ob at PIT 42 for 28 yards (7-B.Roethlisberger).

   +13pp

   BAL