Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 10:54·NO 3, HOU 6

   (10:54) 8-M.Schaub pass deep middle to 80-A.Johnson for 73 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +19pp

   HOU
2. 2
   Q1 · 5:13·NO 3, HOU 7

   (5:13) 25-R.Bush up the middle to HOU 1 for 2 yards (96-E.Cochran). FUMBLES (96-E.Cochran), RECOVERED by HOU-24-C.Brown at HOU 1. 24-C.Brown to HOU 1 for no gain (25-R.Bush). New Orleans challenged the fumble ruling, and the play was Upheld. (Timeout #1 at 04:44.)

   +14pp

   HOU
3. 3
   Q1 · 7:06·NO 3, HOU 7

   (7:06) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass deep left to 12-M.Colston pushed ob at HOU 15 for 32 yards (34-V.Hutchins).

   +14pp

   NOR
4. 4
   Q2 · 7:58·NO 3, HOU 7

   (7:58) 33-A.Echemandu left tackle to HOU 42 for 2 yards (97-J.Cooper). FUMBLES (97-J.Cooper), RECOVERED by NO-91-W.Smith at HOU 45. 91-W.Smith to HOU 43 for 2 yards (74-E.Salaam).

   +14pp

   NOR
5. 5
   Q1 · 13:47·NO 0, HOU 0

   (13:47) (Shotgun) 8-M.Schaub pass short middle to 81-O.Daniels to HOU 38 for 5 yards (58-S.Shanle). FUMBLES (58-S.Shanle), RECOVERED by NO-55-S.Fujita at HOU 38. Houston challenged the fumble ruling, and the play was Upheld. (Timeout #1 at 13:29.)

   +13pp

   NOR