Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 10:57·HOU 10, NO 13

   (10:57) (Shotgun) 2-A.Brooks pass to 83-D.Stallworth for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Pass 26, Run 9

   +16pp

   NOR
2. 2
   Q2 · 0:48·HOU 7, NO 7

   (:48) (Shotgun) 8-D.Carr pass to 85-C.Bradford ran ob at NO 13 for 31 yards (20-J.Bellamy). Pass 31, Run 0

   +15pp

   HOU
3. 3
   Q2 · 10:24·HOU 6, NO 7

   (10:24) 8-D.Carr left end for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Play Challenged by NO and Upheld. (Timeout #3 by NO at 10:17.)

   +11pp

   HOU
4. 4
   Q3 · 4:41·HOU 10, NO 14

   (4:41) 2-A.Brooks pass to 87-J.Horn ran ob at HOU 34 for 38 yards (24-E.Brown). Pass 11, Run 27

   +9pp

   NOR
5. 5
   Q1 · 11:55·HOU 0, NO 0

   (11:55) (Punt formation) 30-J.Simmons left guard to NO 45 for 7 yards (22-F.Thomas).

   +7pp

   HOU