Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 9:49·NYJ 0, NE 0

   (9:49) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass to 80-T.Brown to NYJ 28 for 14 yards (21-D.Strait).

   +11pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q2 · 0:24·NYJ 3, NE 3

   (:24) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass to 33-K.Faulk ran ob at NYJ 22 for 18 yards.

   +9pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q2 · 4:08·NYJ 0, NE 3

   (4:08) 5-B.Bollinger pass to 88-D.Jolley to NE 39 for 15 yards (25-A.Hawkins).

   +8pp

   NYJ
4. 4
   Q3 · 8:12·NYJ 3, NE 6

   (8:12) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass to 33-K.Faulk pushed ob at NYJ 40 for 13 yards (26-E.Coleman).

   +8pp

   NWE
5. 5
   Q1 · 8:50·NYJ 0, NE 0

   (8:50) 4-A.Vinatieri 45 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-8-J.Miller.

   +7pp

   NYJ