Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 4:31·NE 7, NYJ 6

   (4:31) 12-T.Brady pass intended for 87-D.Givens INTERCEPTED by 24-T.Law at NYJ 26. 24-T.Law for 74 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +28pp

   NYJ
2. 2
   Q1 · 5:19·NE 7, NYJ 0

   (5:19) 5-B.Bollinger pass intended for 88-D.Jolley INTERCEPTED by 22-A.Samuel at NYJ 49. 22-A.Samuel to NYJ 34 for 15 yards (34-C.Houston). FUMBLES (34-C.Houston), RECOVERED by NYJ-34-C.Houston at NYJ 33. 34-C.Houston to NYJ 33 for no gain (22-A.Samuel). Play Challenged by NE and REVERSED. 5-B.Bollinger pass intended for 88-D.Jolley INTERCEPTED by 22-A.Samuel at NYJ 49. 22-A.Samuel to NYJ 34 for 15 yards (34-C.Houston).NE-22-A.Samuel was injured during the play. His return is Questionable.

   +13pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q2 · 9:44·NE 7, NYJ 7

   (9:44) (Run formation) 28-C.Dillon left tackle to NYJ 39 for 2 yards (55-M.Brown). PENALTY on NYJ-70-L.Legree, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced at NYJ 41 - No Play.

   +9pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q1 · 9:45·NE 0, NYJ 0

   (9:45) 12-T.Brady up the middle to NYJ 41 for 2 yards (93-J.Reed).

   +8pp

   NWE
5. 5
   Q2 · 5:59·NE 14, NYJ 7

   (5:59) 5-B.Bollinger sacked at NYJ 23 for -10 yards (50-M.Vrabel). Penalty on NYJ-78-J.Goodwin, Face Mask (15 Yards), declined.

   +6pp

   NWE