Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 13:37·IND 0, HOU 0

   (13:37) (Shotgun) 8-D.Carr pass intended for 80-A.Johnson INTERCEPTED by 42-J.David at HOU 38. 42-J.David to HOU 37 for 1 yard (85-C.Bradford).

   +14pp

   IND
2. 2
   Q2 · 0:45·IND 14, HOU 7

   (:45) (Shotgun) 8-D.Carr Aborted. 76-S.McKinney FUMBLES at IND 39, RECOVERED by IND-79-R.Brock at IND 39. 79-R.Brock to IND 39 for no gain (8-D.Carr).

   +11pp

   IND
3. 3
   Q4 · 13:04·IND 17, HOU 14

   (13:04) (Shotgun) 8-D.Carr sacked at HOU 37 for -9 yards (93-D.Freeney).

   +9pp

   IND
4. 4
   Q4 · 10:18·IND 17, HOU 14

   (10:18) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 87-R.Wayne pushed ob at HOU 41 for 26 yards (38-D.Faggins). (5 yards after catch.)

   +9pp

   IND
5. 5
   Q2 · 8:30·IND 14, HOU 6

   (8:30) 8-D.Carr pass to 32-J.Wells for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (This TD pass is HOU #32 Wells' first NFL TD pass reception.)

   +8pp

   HOU