Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 12:57·IND 7, HOU 0

   (12:57) 8-D.Carr pass intended for 85-C.Bradford INTERCEPTED by 25-N.Harper at IND 33. 25-N.Harper to HOU 47 for 20 yards (81-M.Murphy).

   +12pp

   IND
2. 2
   Q2 · 13:07·IND 7, HOU 0

   (13:07) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning sacked at IND 43 for -4 yards (53-S.Orr). FUMBLES (53-S.Orr), RECOVERED by HOU-56-M.Greenwood at 50. 56-M.Greenwood to 50 for no gain (81-B.Fletcher).

   +11pp

   HOU
3. 3
   Q2 · 3:15·IND 14, HOU 7

   (3:15) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass intended for 83-B.Stokley INTERCEPTED by 23-D.Robinson at IND 35. 23-D.Robinson to IND 34 for 1 yard (83-B.Stokley).

   +9pp

   HOU
4. 4
   Q2 · 0:37·IND 14, HOU 13

   (:37) 8-D.Carr pass to 86-J.Gaffney for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (3 yards after catch.)

   +9pp

   HOU
5. 5
   Q3 · 11:25·IND 20, HOU 14

   (11:25) 32-E.James up the middle for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +8pp

   IND