Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 8:22·MIA 0, BUF 6

   (8:22) 9-J.Fiedler pass intended for 44-R.Konrad INTERCEPTED by 51-T.Spikes at MIA 11. 51-T.Spikes for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on BUF, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced between downs. Penalty by rule is assessed on kick-off

   +17pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q2 · 0:58·MIA 9, BUF 7

   (:58) 9-J.Fiedler pass to 88-D.Thompson for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +11pp

   MIA
3. 3
   Q2 · 7:20·MIA 3, BUF 7

   (7:20) 9-R.Lindell 43 yard field goal is No Good, Short, Center-54-J.Dorenbos, Holder-8-B.Moorman.

   +8pp

   MIA
4. 4
   Q2 · 9:59·MIA 3, BUF 7

   (9:59) (Shotgun) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 21-W.McGahee to MIA 24 for 9 yards (55-J.Seau). Shovel pass at line

   +8pp

   BUF
5. 5
   Q1 · 14:23·MIA 0, BUF 0

   (14:23) 31-S.Morris up the middle to BUF 36 for 25 yards (43-I.Reese).

   +8pp

   MIA