Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 1:47·MIA 14, BUF 20

   (1:47) (Shotgun) 11-G.Frerotte pass to 23-R.Brown to BUF 14 for 11 yards (22-N.Clements, 59-L.Fletcher). FUMBLES (22-N.Clements), RECOVERED by BUF-23-T.Vincent at BUF 18. Caught at BUF 24, right side. Play Challenged by Review Assistant and Upheld.

   +30pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q4 · 0:30·MIA 14, BUF 20

   (:30) 8-B.Moorman punts 42 yards to MIA 38, Center-54-M.Schneck. 83-W.Welker to BUF 47 for 15 yards (50-L.Ezekiel).

   +16pp

   MIA
3. 3
   Q1 · 12:34·MIA 0, BUF 0

   (12:34) (Shotgun) 10-K.Holcomb pass to 83-L.Evans pushed ob at MIA 1 for 49 yards (25-R.Howard). Caught at MIA 43, right side. Penalty on MIA-21-T.Daniels, Defensive Offside, declined.

   +15pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q4 · 8:25·MIA 13, BUF 17

   (8:25) 11-G.Frerotte pass to 81-R.McMichael for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught over middle at BUF 7. PENALTY on MIA-81-R.McMichael, Taunting, 15 yards, enforced between downs. Penalty to be assessed on kickoff.

   +12pp

   MIA
5. 5
   Q4 · 0:21·MIA 14, BUF 20

   (:21) (Shotgun) 11-G.Frerotte sacked at MIA 46 for -7 yards (90-C.Kelsay).

   +11pp

   BUF