Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 2:53·NE 15, MIA 16

   (2:53) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass to 86-T.Dwight to MIA 17 for 59 yards (25-R.Howard).

   +26pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q4 · 4:34·NE 15, MIA 10

   (4:34) (No Huddle) 11-G.Frerotte pass to 86-M.Booker to NE 22 for 28 yards (24-M.Stone).

   +21pp

   MIA
3. 3
   Q4 · 3:04·NE 15, MIA 16

   (3:04) (Shotgun) 11-G.Frerotte FUMBLES (Aborted) at NE 20, and recovers at NE 20. 11-G.Frerotte pass to 84-C.Chambers for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +18pp

   MIA
4. 4
   Q3 · 7:03·NE 3, MIA 7

   (7:03) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete to 18-A.Davis (21-T.Daniels). PENALTY on MIA-21-T.Daniels, Defensive Pass Interference, 49 yards, enforced at NE 34 - No Play.

   +16pp

   NWE
5. 5
   Q4 · 0:41·NE 23, MIA 16

   (:41) (Shotgun) 11-G.Frerotte pass incomplete to 84-C.Chambers.

   +15pp

   NWE