Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 2:14·NYJ 0, NE 3

   (2:14) 10-C.Pennington pass to 33-J.Sowell to NE 15 for 4 yards (52-T.Johnson). FUMBLES (52-T.Johnson), RECOVERED by NE-21-R.Gay at NE 7.

   +14pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q4 · 2:19·NYJ 7, NE 13

   (2:19) 10-C.Pennington pass incomplete to 80-W.Chrebet (37-R.Harrison).

   +11pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q1 · 4:14·NYJ 0, NE 3

   (4:14) 10-C.Pennington pass to 81-J.McCareins to NE 28 for 18 yards (22-A.Samuel).

   +9pp

   NYJ
4. 4
   Q4 · 14:19·NYJ 7, NE 13

   (14:19) NE 90-Klecko eligible. 12-T.Brady pass to 90-D.Klecko to NYJ 36 for no gain (94-J.Abraham). FUMBLES (94-J.Abraham), RECOVERED by NYJ-50-E.Barton at NYJ 37. 50-E.Barton to NYJ 39 for 2 yards (87-D.Givens). NE 90-Klecko injured on play.

   +9pp

   NYJ
5. 5
   Q4 · 2:48·NYJ 7, NE 13

   (2:48) 28-C.Martin left guard to NE 30 for -3 yards (55-W.McGinest, 93-R.Seymour).

   +9pp

   NWE