Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 7:14·NYJ 6, NE 9

   (7:14) 12-T.Brady sacked at NE 23 for -5 yards (75-C.McGlockton). FUMBLES (75-C.McGlockton), RECOVERED by NYJ-93-J.Reed at NE 29. 93-J.Reed to NE 13 for 16 yards (83-D.Branch). Play Challenged by NE and Upheld. (Timeout #1 by NE at 07:03.)

   +23pp

   NYJ
2. 2
   Q4 · 15:00·NYJ 9, NE 22

   (15:00) 16-V.Testaverde pass intended for 80-W.Chrebet INTERCEPTED by 22-A.Samuel at NE 45. 22-A.Samuel for 55 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +16pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q2 · 10:23·NYJ 3, NE 6

   (10:23) (Field Goal formation) 4-D.Stryzinski pass incomplete to 68-K.Mawae.

   +12pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q4 · 7:14·NYJ 16, NE 23

   (7:14) 6-D.Brien 42 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-4-D.Stryzinski.

   +11pp

   NWE
5. 5
   Q3 · 12:03·NYJ 6, NE 6

   (12:03) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass to 31-L.Centers pushed ob at NYJ 30 for 12 yards (56-S.Cowart). Penalty on NYJ-92-S.Ellis, Encroachment, declined.

   +10pp

   NWE