Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 9:47·NYJ 7, NE 6

   9-J.Hall kicks 57 yards from NYJ 30 to NE 13. 33-K.Faulk for 87 yards, TOUCHDOWN. 2nd KO return TD of season/career, longest of career.

   +19pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q3 · 4:11·NYJ 17, NE 17

   (4:11) 1-M.Turk punts 39 yards to NE 19, Center-85-J.Dearth. 80-T.Brown to NE 19 for no gain (26-C.Morton). FUMBLES (26-C.Morton), RECOVERED by NYJ-25-N.Ferguson at NE 19. 25-N.Ferguson to NE 19 for no gain (25-L.Myers).

   +17pp

   NYJ
3. 3
   Q4 · 9:58·NYJ 20, NE 17

   (9:58) 10-C.Pennington pass to 87-L.Coles to NE 33 for 13 yards (24-T.Law). PENALTY on NE-24-T.Law, Face Mask (15 Yards), 15 yards, enforced at NE 33.

   +10pp

   NYJ
4. 4
   Q3 · 6:23·NYJ 17, NE 16

   (6:23) 12-T.Brady pass to 88-C.Fauria for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +10pp

   NWE
5. 5
   Q3 · 0:26·NYJ 20, NE 17

   (:26) 12-T.Brady sacked at NE 24 for -8 yards (94-J.Abraham).

   +9pp

   NYJ