Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 10:51·NE 0, BUF 0

   (10:51) (Shotgun) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 81-B.Shaw to NE 20 for 24 yards (23-A.Harris). Caught along left sideline at NE 22.

   +12pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q1 · 6:57·NE 0, BUF 7

   (6:57) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 80-E.Moulds to NE 40 for 49 yards (24-T.Law). Caught over middle at NE 50.

   +8pp

   BUF
3. 3
   Q1 · 4:28·NE 0, BUF 7

   (4:28) (Shotgun) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 31-S.Morris to NE 20 for 24 yards (24-T.Law, 23-A.Harris). Screen over middle, caught at NE 38. T.Law injured on play, jogs off.

   +7pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q2 · 10:24·NE 0, BUF 20

   (10:24) 12-T.Brady pass INTERCEPTED by 95-S.Adams at NE 37. 95-S.Adams for 37 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Pressure on QB: L.Fletcher. D.Woody injured on play, walks off.

   +6pp

   BUF
5. 5
   Q3 · 10:39·NE 0, BUF 21

   (10:39) 20-T.Henry to BUF 22 for -3 yards. FUMBLES, RECOVERED by NE-55-W.McGinest at BUF 22.

   +6pp

   NWE