Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:05·IND 20, HOU 17

   (:05) 13-M.Vanderjagt 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.

   +30pp

   IND
2. 2
   Q4 · 4:04·IND 10, HOU 17

   (4:04) 8-D.Carr pass intended for 80-A.Johnson INTERCEPTED by 30-D.Strickland (98-R.Mathis) at HOU 24. 30-D.Strickland ran ob at HOU 5 for 19 yards (69-C.Pitts).

   +26pp

   IND
3. 3
   Q2 · 3:39·IND 3, HOU 7

   (3:39) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass intended for 87-R.Wayne INTERCEPTED by 42-M.Coleman at HOU 25. 42-M.Coleman ran ob at IND 34 for 41 yards (63-J.Saturday). PENALTY on IND-18-P.Manning, Face Mask (15 Yards), 15 yards, enforced at IND 34.

   +16pp

   HOU
4. 4
   Q4 · 2:54·IND 17, HOU 17

   (2:54) 7-C.Stanley punts 50 yards to IND 20, Center-48-B.Pittman. 86-T.Walters to IND 32 for 12 yards (24-E.Brown, 30-J.Simmons). PENALTY on IND, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at IND 20. (Punt hang time 4.84 seconds.)

   +13pp

   HOU
5. 5
   Q4 · 1:45·IND 17, HOU 17

   (1:45) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 88-M.Harrison pushed ob at IND 42 for 16 yards (21-D.Vaughn).

   +12pp

   IND