Heartbreakers | 2023 Season | The Edge | League Station
Heartbreakers
Games where the losing team reached a high win probability and still lost: biggest collapses, most improbable comebacks. Powered by nflfastR play-by-play.
Heartbreak magnitude = the losing team's peak WP in the game. A 90%-peak loss is a bigger collapse than a 60%-peak loss. The same number reads as the winning team's comeback magnitude (their lowest WP was 1 − loser peak).
CHI peaked at 98% win probability, lost 31–28 to DEN.DEN bottomed out at 2%.
