Down Judge· also: Alternate 53
Sarah Thomas
Scoring
How high or low his games runSlight Under lean: games trend a bit lower-scoring than the market expects.
% Games Over the Total
45%
-4.0ppleague 49% · 47 priced games
Avg Total Points
43.5
-2.1league 45.6 · both teams combined
Spread Outcomes
Who covers the line in his gamesRoad teams cover well above the league rate: measurable road tilt.
Favorites Cover %
45%
-4.1ppleague 49% · 47 priced games
Home Teams Cover %
40%
-8.3ppleague 49% · home-vs-road tilt
Penalties & Pace
How the crew calls + paces the gameLets-em-play crew: penalty rate runs well below league average.
Penalties / Game
11.2
-1.5league 12.7 · both teams combined
Plays / Game
118.4
-3.2league 121.6 · pass + rush attempts
Penalty Yards / Game
86
-21league 107
Penalties: home vs road
Flags split roughly evenly between home and road.
Recent Games Worked
- Sep 13, 2026CHI@CAR59–37Spread CHI -3Total 47.5Penalties 23 (141 yd)96favover23 (141 yd)
- Jan 3, 2026CAR@TAM14–16Spread TAM -3Total 42.5Penalties 11 (91 yd)30dogunder11 (91 yd)
- Dec 28, 2025JAX@IND23–17Spread JAX -4Total 48.5Penalties 11 (100 yd)40favunder11 (100 yd)
- Dec 18, 2025LAR@SEA37–38Spread SEA -1.5Total 42Penalties 13 (94 yd)75dogover13 (94 yd)
- Dec 14, 2025BAL@CIN24–0Spread BAL -3Total 51.5Penalties 6 (40 yd)24favunder6 (40 yd)
- Dec 7, 2025WAS@MIN0–31Spread MIN -1Total 44Penalties 7 (58 yd)31favunder7 (58 yd)
- Nov 30, 2025SFO@CLE26–8Spread SFO -5.5Total 35Penalties 7 (36 yd)34favunder7 (36 yd)
- Nov 17, 2025DAL@LVR33–16Spread DAL -3.5Total 48.5Penalties 12 (90 yd)49favover12 (90 yd)
- Nov 9, 2025NOR@CAR17–7Spread CAR -5Total 38Penalties 7 (65 yd)24dogunder7 (65 yd)
- Nov 2, 2025ATL@NWE23–24Spread NWE -5Total 45.5Penalties 7 (55 yd)47dogover7 (55 yd)
FAV covered · DOG covered · OVER hit · UNDER hit · PUSH
Source: nflverse officials release joined to games. Vegas-controlled signals use the betting market as matchup adjustment. Penalty + plays averages limited to 2012+ when per-team box data is available. Sample-size floor: 30 games.