Chicago Bears at Carolina Panthers, Week 1 2026

Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 7:07·CHI 21, CAR 21

   (7:07) 19-T.Taylor punts 48 yards to CAR 22, Center-45-B.Gardner. 15-Ji.Horn MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by CHI-81-K.Davis at CAR 28.

   +20pp

   CHI
2. 2
   Q1 · 3:01·CHI 7, CAR 7

   (3:01) (Shotgun) 18-C.Williams pass deep right to 15-R.Odunze pushed ob at CAR 6 for 47 yards (24-W.Lee). CAR-97-B.Brown was injured during the play.

   +15pp

   CHI
3. 3
   Q2 · 3:41·CHI 24, CAR 21

   (3:41) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass deep right to 25-J.Brooks to CHI 26 for 48 yards (1-J.Johnson).

   +14pp

   CAR
4. 4