Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 11:00·KC 13, DEN 16

   (11:00) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass incomplete deep right to 5-M.Brown [99-Z.Allen]. PENALTY on DEN-21-R.Moss, Defensive Pass Interference, 47 yards, enforced at KC 28 - No Play.

   +25pp

   KAN
2. 2
   Q4 · 0:03·KC 19, DEN 22

   (:03) 3-W.Lutz 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-16-J.Crawshaw.

   +16pp

   DEN
3. 3
   Q3 · 3:11·KC 6, DEN 13

   (3:11) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep middle to 80-T.Thornton to DEN 11 for 61 yards (29-J.McMillian) [98-J.Franklin-Myers].

   +15pp

   KAN
4. 4
   Q4 · 10:04·KC 19, DEN 16

   (10:04) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 87-T.Kelce for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +15pp

   KAN
5. 5
   Q4 · 0:54·KC 19, DEN 19

   (:54) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass deep left to 11-T.Franklin to KC 15 for 32 yards (35-J.Watson).

   +15pp

   DEN