Pittsburgh Steelers at New England Patriots, Week 2 2026

Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 11:32·PIT 0, NE 0

   (11:32) 10-D.Maye pass short left to 38-R.Stevenson to PIT 31 for 3 yards (51-N.Herbig). FUMBLES (51-N.Herbig), RECOVERED by PIT-41-P.Wilson at PIT 31. PENALTY on PIT-5-J.Ramsey, Taunting, 15 yards, enforced at PIT 31.

   +12pp

   PIT
2. 2
   Q4 · 13:46·PIT 3, NE 19

   (13:46) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers sacked at PIT 21 for -9 yards (90-C.Barmore). FUMBLES (90-C.Barmore) [90-C.Barmore], RECOVERED by NE-91-E.Ponder at PIT 19. 91-E.Ponder for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +10pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q3 · 12:59·PIT 3, NE 10

   (12:59) 10-D.Maye pass deep left intended for 85-H.Henry INTERCEPTED by 6-P.Queen at PIT 10. 6-P.Queen to PIT 13 for 3 yards (85-H.Henry).

   +9pp

   PIT
4. 4