Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:24·TEN 26, HOU 24

   (:24) (Shotgun) 9-S.McNair pass to 83-D.Bennett for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +59pp

   TEN
2. 2
   Q3 · 8:59·TEN 10, HOU 9

   (8:59) 9-S.McNair pass intended for 85-D.Mason INTERCEPTED by 29-M.McCree at HOU 5. 29-M.McCree for 95 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +36pp

   HOU
3. 3
   Q3 · 5:35·TEN 16, HOU 10

   (5:35) 37-D.Davis left end to TEN 39 for 3 yards (53-K.Bulluck). FUMBLES (53-K.Bulluck), touched at TEN 39, RECOVERED by TEN-21-S.Rolle at TEN 39. 21-S.Rolle for 61 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on HOU-69-C.Pitts, Offensive Holding, declined.

   +29pp

   TEN
4. 4
   Q4 · 2:32·TEN 20, HOU 17

   (2:32) 8-D.Carr pass to 80-A.Johnson to TEN 20 for 42 yards (22-A.Dyson). (30 yards after catch.)

   +20pp

   HOU
5. 5
   Q2 · 5:01·TEN 0, HOU 3

   (5:01) 9-S.McNair pass to 86-J.McCareins to HOU 1 for 73 yards (43-K.Wright). (31 yards after catch.)

   +20pp

   TEN