Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 2:15·IND 23, JAX 21

   (2:15) (Field Goal formation) 3-M.Royals pass intended for 80-K.Brady INTERCEPTED by 50-D.Thornton at IND 18. 50-D.Thornton to IND 20 for 2 yards (80-K.Brady). Mishandled snap by JJ3 (Royals).

   +40pp

   IND
2. 2
   Q4 · 1:43·IND 23, JAX 21

   (1:43) 17-H.Smith punts 35 yards to JAX 42, Center-48-J.Snow. 34-D.Allen to IND 31 for 27 yards (31-C.Crosby).

   +30pp

   JAX
3. 3
   Q4 · 1:14·IND 23, JAX 27

   (1:14) 28-F.Taylor right tackle for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +26pp

   JAX
4. 4
   Q4 · 11:41·IND 20, JAX 20

   (11:41) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 82-J.Smith for 43 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +23pp

   JAX
5. 5
   Q4 · 11:26·IND 20, JAX 21

   (11:26) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 81-M.Pollard to JAX 9 for 70 yards (27-R.Mathis). Ball caught on IC 19.

   +19pp

   IND