Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 15:00·JAX 0, IND 0

   D.Kight kicks 71 yards from IND 30 to JAX -1. R.Barlow to JAX 18 for 19 yards (J.Finn, K.McDougal).

   +42pp

   JAX
2. 2
   Q1 · 11:10·JAX 0, IND 6

   (11:10) P.Manning pass to M.Harrison for 76 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +15pp

   IND
3. 3
   Q2 · 6:10·JAX 7, IND 7

   (6:10) M.Brunell pass intended for K.McCardell INTERCEPTED by M.Peterson at JAX 31. M.Peterson to JAX 26 for 5 yards (J.Smith).

   +14pp

   IND
4. 4
   Q2 · 5:15·JAX 7, IND 13

   (5:15) (Shotgun) P.Manning pass to T.Wilkins for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +11pp

   IND
5. 5
   Q3 · 12:57·JAX 14, IND 21

   (12:57) P.Manning FUMBLES (Aborted) at JAX 26, RECOVERED by JAX-K.Hardy at JAX 29. K.Hardy to JAX 29 for no gain (K.Dilger).

   +10pp

   JAX