Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 3:43·JAX 9, BAL 10

   (3:43) 8-K.Boller FUMBLES (Aborted) at BAL 23, RECOVERED by JAX-51-A.Ayodele at BAL 15. 51-A.Ayodele for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +23pp

   JAX
2. 2
   Q4 · 15:00·JAX 10, BAL 13

   (15:00) 7-B.Leftwich sacked at JAX 24 for -7 yards (98-A.Weaver). FUMBLES (98-A.Weaver), RECOVERED by BAL-98-A.Weaver at JAX 24. 98-A.Weaver to JAX 24 for no gain (7-B.Leftwich).

   +14pp

   BAL
3. 3
   Q3 · 12:17·JAX 3, BAL 7

   (12:17) 8-K.Boller pass to 89-T.Taylor to JAX 8 for 47 yards.

   +12pp

   BAL
4. 4
   Q4 · 1:00·JAX 17, BAL 24

   (1:00) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass intended for 85-C.Hankton INTERCEPTED by 52-R.Lewis at BAL 9. 52-R.Lewis ran ob at BAL 9 for no gain. Penalty on JAX-85-C.Hankton, Illegal Touch Pass, declined. Play Challenged by Review Assistant and REVERSED. (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass intended for 85-C.Hankton INTERCEPTED by 52-R.Lewis (47-W.Demps) at BAL 9. 52-R.Lewis ran ob at BAL 9 for no gain.

   +10pp

   BAL
5. 5
   Q1 · 13:48·JAX 0, BAL 6

   (13:48) 8-K.Boller pass to 86-T.Heap for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on JAX-58-H.Douglas, Illegal Use of Hands, declined.

   +10pp

   BAL