Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 15:00·JAX 0, BAL 0

   M.Stover kicks 62 yards from BAL 30 to JAX 8. R.Barlow to JAX 35 for 27 yards (C.Harris).

   +45pp

   JAX
2. 2
   Q4 · 0:48·JAX 36, BAL 38

   (:48) (Shotgun) T.Banks pass to S.Sharpe for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +41pp

   BAL
3. 3
   Q4 · 1:55·JAX 35, BAL 32

   (1:55) (Shotgun) M.Brunell pass to J.Smith for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN. McCardell tipped ball in air, Smith caught and ran for TD

   +31pp

   JAX
4. 4
   Q4 · 10:40·JAX 26, BAL 22

   (10:40) S.Mack left tackle to JAX 13 for 1 yard (J.Sharper). FUMBLES (J.Sharper), RECOVERED by BAL-J.Sharper at JAX 13.

   +25pp

   BAL
5. 5
   Q4 · 9:01·JAX 26, BAL 29

   (9:01) M.Brunell pass intended for J.Smith INTERCEPTED by K.Herring (C.Harris) at BAL 35. K.Herring to JAX 35 for 30 yards (M.Brunell). Harris Deflected Ball

   +22pp

   BAL