Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 15:00·BAL 0, JAX 0

   S.Lindsey kicks 70 yards from JAX 30 to end zone, Touchback.

   +42pp

   BAL
2. 2
   Q4 · 1:05·BAL 15, JAX 10

   (1:05) (Shotgun) J.Martin pass intended for J.Smith INTERCEPTED by C.McAlister at BAL 35. C.McAlister to JAX 21 for 44 yards (B.Meester).

   +24pp

   BAL
3. 3
   Q2 · 1:16·BAL 3, JAX 3

   (1:16) (Shotgun) M.Brunell pass to F.Taylor to BAL 40 for 9 yards (C.Harris). FUMBLES (C.Harris), touched at BAL 40, RECOVERED by BAL-R.Bailey at BAL 40. R.Bailey to JAX 33 for 27 yards (K.Brady).

   +16pp

   BAL
4. 4
   Q1 · 1:23·BAL 3, JAX 3

   M.Stover kicks onside 36 yards from BAL 30 to JAX 34. RECOVERED by BAL-A.Davis. Ball caught in the wind and bounced backward.

   +13pp

   BAL
5. 5
   Q2 · 1:50·BAL 3, JAX 3

   (1:50) M.Brunell Aborted. Je.Smith FUMBLES at BAL 8, RECOVERED by BAL-R.Lewis at BAL 7. R.Lewis pushed ob at BAL 47 for 40 yards (F.Taylor). Play Challenged by Replay Official and REVERSED. M.Brunell Aborted. Je.Smith FUMBLES at BAL 8, RECOVERED by BAL-R.Lewis at BAL 7. R.Lewis to BAL 7 for no gain (K.Brady).

   +12pp

   BAL