Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q5 · 9:50·NE 9, BUF 9

   (9:50) 32-A.Smith left tackle pushed ob at BUF 1 for 40 yards (26-A.Winfield). Play Challenged by BUF and REVERSED. 32-A.Smith left tackle pushed ob at BUF 3 for 38 yards (26-A.Winfield).

   +29pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q3 · 13:26·NE 6, BUF 0

   (13:26) 32-A.Smith left end to NE 32 for -2 yards (39-R.Hill). FUMBLES (39-R.Hill), RECOVERED by BUF-39-R.Hill at NE 30.

   +20pp

   BUF
3. 3
   Q3 · 5:42·NE 6, BUF 3

   (5:42) 10-A.Van Pelt pass intended for 85-J.Riemersma INTERCEPTED by 36-L.Milloy at NE 8. 36-L.Milloy pushed ob at NE 29 for 21 yards (75-J.Jennings). Coverage at right side.

   +17pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q4 · 13:02·NE 6, BUF 3

   (13:02) 10-A.Van Pelt pass to 37-L.Centers to NE 14 for 21 yards (36-L.Milloy). Screen over middle, caught at NE 30.

   +16pp

   BUF
5. 5
   Q5 · 12:52·NE 9, BUF 9

   (12:52) 10-A.Van Pelt pass incomplete to 80-E.Moulds (45-O.Smith).

   +15pp

   NWE