Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 5:30·BUF 3, NE 7

   (5:30) 11-R.Johnson pass intended for 88-S.Jackson INTERCEPTED by 45-O.Smith at BUF 25. 45-O.Smith to BUF 24 for 1 yard (88-S.Jackson).

   +12pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q4 · 2:48·BUF 9, NE 14

   (2:48) 10-A.Van Pelt pass to 81-P.Price for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +11pp

   BUF
3. 3
   Q1 · 14:15·BUF 0, NE 0

   (14:15) 11-R.Johnson pass to 81-P.Price to NE 37 for 33 yards (45-O.Smith).

   +10pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q2 · 5:43·BUF 3, NE 7

   (5:43) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass to 33-K.Faulk to BUF 15 for 1 yard (53-K.Newman). FUMBLES (53-K.Newman), RECOVERED by BUF-26-A.Winfield at BUF 15. 26-A.Winfield to BUF 20 for 5 yards (85-J.Wiggins). Penalty on NE-76-G.Williams, Ineligible Downfield Pass, declined.

   +9pp

   BUF
5. 5
   Q2 · 3:34·BUF 3, NE 7

   (3:34) 4-A.Vinatieri 43 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-13-K.Walter.

   +8pp

   BUF