Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 10:38·IND 0, TEN 6

   (10:38) 9-S.McNair pass to 45-J.Simon for 42 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +13pp

   TEN
2. 2
   Q2 · 10:52·IND 6, TEN 14

   (10:52) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 81-M.Pollard for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +9pp

   IND
3. 3
   Q1 · 6:59·IND 0, TEN 7

   (6:59) 18-P.Manning pass intended for 83-Q.Ismail INTERCEPTED by 53-K.Bulluck at TEN 40. 53-K.Bulluck to TEN 45 for 5 yards (81-M.Pollard).

   +9pp

   TEN
4. 4
   Q3 · 14:09·IND 10, TEN 21

   (14:09) (Shotgun) 9-S.McNair pass to 85-D.Mason to IND 45 for 12 yards (93-D.Freeney). FUMBLES (93-D.Freeney), RECOVERED by IND-26-D.Gibson at TEN 47. 26-D.Gibson to TEN 47 for no gain (67-T.Ackerman).

   +8pp

   IND
5. 5
   Q1 · 3:35·IND 0, TEN 7

   (3:35) (Shotgun) 9-S.McNair pass to 89-F.Wycheck to TEN 47 for 11 yards (52-M.Peterson, 25-N.Harper).

   +6pp

   TEN