Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 10:31·TEN 16, IND 0

   (10:31) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning sacked at TEN 32 for -11 yards (25-T.Williams). FUMBLES (25-T.Williams), RECOVERED by TEN-53-K.Bulluck at TEN 39. 53-K.Bulluck for 61 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on TEN-53-K.Bulluck, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced between downs. Minus 18 sack yards.

   +20pp

   TEN
2. 2
   Q1 · 3:36·TEN 3, IND 0

   (3:36) 18-P.Manning pass intended for 88-M.Harrison INTERCEPTED by 59-P.Sirmon at TEN 44. 59-P.Sirmon pushed ob at IND 25 for 31 yards (18-P.Manning).

   +12pp

   TEN
3. 3
   Q1 · 0:04·TEN 9, IND 0

   (:04) 9-S.McNair pass to 20-M.Green for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +5pp

   TEN
4. 4
   Q1 · 10:05·TEN 0, IND 0

   (10:05) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 36-J.Finn to IND 44 for 12 yards (25-T.Williams). FUMBLES (25-T.Williams), RECOVERED by TEN-25-T.Williams at IND 44. 25-T.Williams to IND 44 for no gain (36-J.Finn). Play Challenged by IND and Upheld. (Timeout #1 at 09:50.)

   +5pp

   TEN