New York Jets at New England Patriots, Week 6 2026

Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 8:17·NYJ 10, NE 17

   (8:17) (Shotgun) 32-T.Henderson right guard to NE 35 for 6 yards (31-D.Bailey; 91-J.Briggs). FUMBLES (31-D.Bailey), RECOVERED by NYJ-44-J.Sherwood at NE 36. The Replay Official reviewed the runner was not down by contact ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.

   +10pp

   NYJ
2. 2
   Q1 · 4:18·NYJ 3, NE 6

   (4:18) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass deep right to 87-R.Doubs for 42 yards, TOUCHDOWN. NE-87-R.Doubs was injured during the play.

   +10pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q2 · 7:00·NYJ 3, NE 7

   (7:00) 7-G.Smith up the middle to NE 39 for no gain (50-G.Jacas). (Virtual Measurement).

   +8pp

   NWE
4. 4