Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints, Week 4 2026

Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 13:43·ATL 6, NO 0

   (13:43) 7-Bi.Robinson left end for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +15pp

   ATL
2. 2
   Q1 · 2:52·ATL 7, NO 0

   (2:52) 5-K.Miller left guard to NO 23 for 3 yards (94-L.London). Atlanta challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. 5-K.Miller left guard to NO 23 for 3 yards (94-L.London, 26-C.Henderson). FUMBLES (26-C.Henderson), RECOVERED by ATL-26-C.Henderson at NO 22.

   +13pp

   ATL
3. 3
   Q1 · 5:08·ATL 7, NO 0

   (5:08) 10-D.Carlson 52 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-46-C.Adomitis, Holder-17-R.Wright.

   +8pp

   ATL
4. 4