Down Judge· also: Alternate 129
Dale Keller
Scoring
How high or low his games runSlight Over lean: games trend a bit higher-scoring than the market expects.
% Games Over the Total
52%
+3.4ppleague 49% · 48 priced games
Avg Total Points
46.5
+0.9league 45.6 · both teams combined
Spread Outcomes
Who covers the line in his gamesUnderdogs cover well above the league rate in his games.
Favorites Cover %
37%
-12ppleague 49% · 48 priced games
Home Teams Cover %
37%
-12ppleague 49% · home-vs-road tilt
Penalties & Pace
How the crew calls + paces the gameAverage penalty and pace signals: no tendency stands out.
Penalties / Game
12.3
-0.4league 12.7 · both teams combined
Plays / Game
119.2
-2.4league 121.6 · pass + rush attempts
Penalty Yards / Game
99
-8.0league 107
Penalties: home vs road
Flags split roughly evenly between home and road.
Recent Games Worked
- Sep 13, 2026NYJ@TEN23–10Spread TEN -1.5Total 39.5Penalties 12 (73 yd)33dogunder12 (73 yd)
- Jan 3, 2026SEA@SFO13–3Spread SEA -2.5Total 48.5Penalties 8 (56 yd)16favunder8 (56 yd)
- Dec 25, 2025DEN@KAN20–13Spread DEN -13.5Total 38Penalties 7 (67 yd)33dogunder7 (67 yd)
- Dec 21, 2025BUF@CLE23–20Spread BUF -10.5Total 41Penalties 10 (79 yd)43dogover10 (79 yd)
- Dec 14, 2025WAS@NYG29–21Spread NYG -2.5Total 45.5Penalties 17 (129 yd)50dogover17 (129 yd)
- Nov 30, 2025ARI@TAM17–20Spread TAM -4Total 45.5Penalties 9 (73 yd)37dogunder9 (73 yd)
- Nov 23, 2025PHI@DAL21–24Spread PHI -3Total 47.5Penalties 22 (165 yd)45dogunder22 (165 yd)
- Nov 16, 2025CIN@PIT12–34Spread PIT -5.5Total 47.5Penalties 16 (143 yd)46favunder16 (143 yd)
- Nov 6, 2025LVR@DEN7–10Spread DEN -9Total 42.5Penalties 22 (161 yd)17dogunder22 (161 yd)
- Nov 2, 2025SEA@WAS38–14Spread SEA -2.5Total 47.5Penalties 13 (131 yd)52favover13 (131 yd)
FAV covered · DOG covered · OVER hit · UNDER hit · PUSH
Source: nflverse officials release joined to games. Vegas-controlled signals use the betting market as matchup adjustment. Penalty + plays averages limited to 2012+ when per-team box data is available. Sample-size floor: 30 games.