Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 7:51·NE 10, PIT 14

   (7:51) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right intended for 11-J.Edelman INTERCEPTED by 23-J.Haden [91-S.Tuitt] at PIT 4. 23-J.Haden to PIT 4 for no gain (11-J.Edelman; 87-R.Gronkowski). NE-11-J.Edelman was injured during the play.

   +18pp

   PIT
2. 2
   Q1 · 6:58·NE 6, PIT 7

   (6:58) 12-T.Brady pass deep right to 15-C.Hogan for 63 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +12pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q4 · 6:13·NE 10, PIT 14

   (6:13) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short right to 89-V.McDonald to PIT 15 for 8 yards (23-P.Chung).

   +12pp

   PIT
4. 4
   Q4 · 13:35·NE 10, PIT 14

   (13:35) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short right intended for 84-A.Brown INTERCEPTED by 21-D.Harmon (24-S.Gilmore) at NE 41. 21-D.Harmon to NE 41 for no gain (84-A.Brown).

   +12pp

   NWE
5. 5
   Q4 · 3:14·NE 10, PIT 14

   (3:14) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short right to 38-J.Samuels to PIT 46 for 20 yards (30-J.McCourty).

   +11pp

   PIT