New Orleans Saints at Detroit Lions, Week 1 2026

Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q5 · 1:38·NO 30, DET 31

   (1:38) (Shotgun) 6-T.Shough pass short right to 87-N.Fant for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +57pp

   DET
2. 2
   Q5 · 3:13·NO 24, DET 31

   (3:13) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 6-T.Shough pass deep right to 12-C.Olave to NO 47 for 20 yards (29-A.Maddox). ** Injury Update: DET-23-R.Ya-Sin has returned to the game.

   +32pp

   NOR
3. 3
   Q5 · 1:34·NO 30, DET 31

   TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 6-T.Shough pass to 18-B.Lance is incomplete. ATTEMPT FAILS.

   +30pp

   DET
4. 4