Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 11:50·DET 25, NO 13

   (11:50) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep right to 15-G.Tate for 66 yards, TOUCHDOWN [94-C.Jordan]. Pass 29, YAC 37

   +14pp

   DET
2. 2
   Q3 · 11:21·DET 13, NO 6

   (11:21) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep left to 13-T.Jones to NO 19 for 36 yards (48-V.Bell, 40-D.Breaux). Pass 30, YAC 6

   +11pp

   DET
3. 3
   Q1 · 13:36·DET 0, NO 0

   (13:36) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees to NO 23 for -4 yards. FUMBLES, and recovers at NO 11. 9-D.Brees pass incomplete right. PENALTY on NO-9-D.Brees, Intentional Grounding, 20 yards, enforced at NO 27. Brees fumbled the exchange from center and had to scramble to recover the ball, then threw to an offensive lineman.

   +10pp

   DET
4. 4
   Q1 · 2:15·DET 3, NO 0

   (2:15) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short middle to 85-E.Ebron to DET 34 for 12 yards (48-V.Bell). Pass 12, YAC 0

   +7pp

   DET
5. 5
   Q2 · 8:08·DET 10, NO 0

   (8:08) 68-T.Lelito reported in as eligible. 22-M.Ingram right end pushed ob at DET 21 for 22 yards (27-G.Quin).

   +7pp

   NOR