Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 10:03·BUF 28, NE 30

   (10:03) 74-T.Munford reported in as eligible. 32-T.Henderson left end for 65 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +27pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q4 · 11:22·BUF 21, NE 24

   (11:22) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep right to 10-K.Shakir to NE 8 for 37 yards (25-M.Jones). Penalty on NE-25-M.Jones, Defensive Pass Interference, declined.

   +23pp

   BUF
3. 3
   Q4 · 10:10·BUF 27, NE 24

   (10:10) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 88-D.Knox for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +18pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q4 · 1:54·BUF 35, NE 31

   (1:54) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass incomplete short middle to 8-S.Diggs (97-J.Bosa).

   +12pp

   BUF
5. 5
   Q1 · 13:00·BUF 0, NE 0

   (13:00) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass deep right to 9-K.Boutte to BUF 25 for 30 yards (31-M.Hairston).

   +12pp

   NWE