Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 10:22·BUF 10, NE 14

   (10:22) 19-J.Milton FUMBLES (Aborted) at NE 17, RECOVERED by BUF-56-J.Solomon at NE 16.

   +19pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q2 · 12:14·BUF 6, NE 7

   (12:14) 11-M.Trubisky pass short right to 22-R.Davis for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +13pp

   BUF
3. 3
   Q2 · 9:22·BUF 7, NE 13

   (9:22) (Shotgun) 19-J.Milton pass deep middle to 9-K.Boutte for 48 yards, TOUCHDOWN. NE 19-Milton 1st NFL TD pass.

   +12pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q3 · 4:51·BUF 16, NE 14

   (4:51) (Shotgun) 19-J.Milton scrambles up the middle to BUF 42 for 9 yards (44-J.Andreessen). Buffalo challenged the first down ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands. (Timeout #1.)

   +10pp

   NWE
5. 5
   Q4 · 7:27·BUF 16, NE 20

   (7:27) (Shotgun) 14-M.White pass short right to 1-C.Samuel to BUF 48 for 11 yards (35-M.Battle).

   +10pp

   BUF